Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Current odds

• Eduardo Paes — 92.7%
• Douglas Ruas — 3.1%
• Colonel Busnello — 2.8%
• Rafa Luz — 1.6%
• Anthony Garotinho — 0.4%
• Felipe Curi — 0.4%
• Fred Pacheco — 0.2%
• Dr. Luizinho — 0.1%
• Chico Machado — 0.1%
• Wilson Witzel — 0.1%
• André Ceciliano — 0.1%
• Lindbergh Farias — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

About this market: Paes leads the "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner" market, ahead of Ruas and Busnello. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.