Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Current odds

• Luciano Zucco — 44.5%
• Juliana Brizola — 41.5%
• Gabriel Souza — 9.2%
• Luis Carlos Heinze — 3.1%
• Marcelo Maranata — 1.8%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

About this market: Zucco leads the "Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner" market, ahead of Brizola and Souza. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.