Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Current odds

• <47% — 20.0%
• 56-59% — 18.2%
• 50-53% — 12.5%
• 59-62% — 10.0%
• 47-50% — 7.0%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

About this market: <47% leads the "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" market, ahead of 56-59% and 50-53%. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.