São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner

Current odds

• Carlos Vila Nova — 99.6%
• Nito Abreu — 0.2%
• Elsa Pinto — 0.1%
• Jorge Bom Jesus — 0.1%
• Nino Monteiro — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.

About this market: Nova leads the "São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner" market, ahead of Abreu and Pinto. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.