Sinquefield Cup Winner

Current odds

• Fabiano Caruana — 24.5%
• Javokhir Sindarov — 13.0%
• Vincent Keymer — 12.5%
• Wesley So — 12.0%
• Alireza Firouzja — 11.0%
• Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu — 10.0%
• Maxime Vachier-Lagrave — 5.5%
• Anish Giri — 5.5%
• Levon Aronian — 4.5%
• Jorden Van Foreest — 3.0%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sinquefield Cup, currently scheduled for August 8, 2026 to August 21, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: Caruana leads the "Sinquefield Cup Winner" market, ahead of Sindarov and Keymer. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.