South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner

Current odds

• Darline Graham Nordone — 69.7%
• Ralph Norman — 15.0%
• Russell Fry — 10.0%
• Trey Gowdy — 3.7%
• Pamela Evette — 0.8%
• Mark Lynch — 0.6%
• Joe Wilson — 0.1%
• Nancy Mace — 0.1%
• Scott Bessent — 0.1%
• Sheri Biggs — 0.1%
• André Bauer — 0.1%
• William Timmons — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

About this market: Nordone leads the "South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner" market, ahead of Norman and Fry. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.