Starmer out by...?

Current odds

• December 31 — 95.0%
• October 31 — 92.0%
• August 31 — 90.0%
• July 31 — 83.0%
• June 30 — 58.0%
• June 26 — 51.0%
• June 22 — 18.0%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

About this market: December 31 leads the "Starmer out by...?" market, ahead of October 31 and August 31. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.