Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Current odds

• Moderate Party (M) — 81.0%
• Sweden Democrats (SD) — 16.5%
• Liberals (L) — 0.7%
• Left Party (V) — 0.4%
• Centre Party (C) — 0.4%
• Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) — 0.2%
• Citizens' Coalition (MED) — 0.2%
• Christian Democrats (KD) — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

About this market: (M) leads the "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" market, ahead of (SD) and (L). Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.