Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Current odds

• Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) — 98.3%
• Sweden Democrats (SD) — 1.7%
• Moderate Party (M) — 0.1%
• Liberals (L) — 0.1%
• Green Party (MP) — 0.1%
• Left Party (V) — 0.1%
• Citizens' Coalition (MED) — 0.1%
• Christian Democrats (KD) — 0.1%
• Centre Party (C) — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

About this market: Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner (2026, most seats)? This politics market is actively priced by prediction-market traders, and the odds move as new information arrives. Our full analysis breaks down the current odds, the contenders and the catalysts that drive them, and how to take a leveraged position on the outcome. read the full analysis