Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Current odds

• $200M — 98.4%
• $100M — 97.7%
• $300M — 89.0%
• $500M — 73.0%
• $800M — 42.0%
• $1B — 31.0%
• $2B — 14.1%
• $3B — 11.4%
• $4B — 4.2%
• $5B — 2.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

About this market: $200M leads the "Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?" market, ahead of $100M and $300M. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.