Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? You can trade either side with leverage up to 5x. Prices update live from the order book, and settlement is non-custodial on-chain.