What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Current odds
- Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) — 14.5%
- Dilution of Iran's Uranium — 12.5%
- ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) — 11.5%
- 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium — 7.5%
- Iran Reconstruction Funding — 6.5%
- Enriched Uranium Surrender — 5.5%
Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.
Resolution criteria
Rules
About this market: Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) leads the "What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?" market, ahead of Uranium and ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year). Trade any outcome with leverage up to 4x.
Trade What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? on PredMart — a non-custodial margin account for Polymarket. Open a position with leverage up to 4x in one click, or borrow USDC against shares you already hold.