What will happen before GTA VI?

Current odds

• Another Pandemic — 51.0%
• New Rihanna Album — 51.0%
• New Playboi Carti Album — 51.0%
• Trump out as President — 51.0%
• China invades Taiwan — 51.0%
• GPT-6 released — 51.0%
• Jesus Christ returns — 50.0%
• Bitcoin hits $1m — 49.9%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.

About this market: Prediction markets benchmark major world events against the GTA VI November 2026 release date. Current odds price GPT-6 at 51.5%, Bitcoin hitting $1M at 49.65%, another pandemic at 50.5%, and new Rihanna/Carti albums near even. Over $23 million has traded on this novelty event set. Read the full analysis.