Where will Vinicius Junior transfer?

Current odds

• Real Madrid — 93.0%
• Arsenal — 4.2%
• Bayern Munich — 2.5%
• Al-Nassr — 1.2%
• Paris Saint-Germain — 0.5%
• Manchester City — 0.5%
• Al-Hilal — 0.4%
• Chelsea — 0.3%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the next team Vinicius Junior officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Vinicius Junior does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If Vinicius Junior joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Vinicius Junior is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

About this market: Madrid leads the "Where will Vinicius Junior transfer?" market, ahead of Arsenal and Munich. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.