Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

Current odds

• No meeting before 2027 — 96.2%
• US — 1.7%
• Qatar / UAE — 0.6%
• Switzerland — 0.4%
• China — 0.4%
• Russia — 0.3%
• Turkey — 0.3%
• India — 0.2%
• Hungary — 0.2%
• Belarus — 0.1%
• Italy / Vatican — 0.1%
• Saudi Arabia — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

About this market: This market resolves to the location of the next in-person meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin before 2027, or to "No meeting before 2027" if they do not meet. A meeting requires both leaders to be present and to interact in person, and a meeting on Ukrainian territory under de facto Russian control counts as Russia. The two have met only once, in Paris in 2019. Pricing turns on whether US-brokered talks produce a deal worth a signing summit, on the Gulf and Swiss venues that have hosted negotiations, and on whether Putin attends the December G20 in Miami. read the full analysis