Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Current odds
- Syria — 10.6%
- Azerbaijan — 7.4%
- Saudi Arabia — 5.5%
- Pakistan — 4.5%
- Oman — 3.1%
Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
About this market: Syria leads the "Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?" market, ahead of Azerbaijan and Arabia. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.
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