Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

Current odds

• Tom Begich — 95.3%
• Adam Crum — 5.0%
• Shelley Hughes — 4.3%
• Lesil McGuire — 3.0%
• Hank Kroll — 1.5%
• Nancy Dahlstrom — 1.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

About this market: Begich leads the "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" market, ahead of Crum and Hughes. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.