Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Current odds

• Pete Buttigieg — 13.5%
• Gavin Newsom — 13.0%
• Stephen A. Smith — 12.5%
• Don Lemon — 12.5%
• Kamala Harris — 11.5%
• Rahm Emanuel — 11.5%
• Andy Beshear — 10.5%
• Tucker Carlson — 10.5%
• Steve Bannon — 10.5%
• Mark Kelly — 9.5%
• Brian Kemp — 9.5%
• Marjorie Taylor Greene — 9.5%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: Buttigieg leads the "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" market, ahead of Newsom and Smith. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.