Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Current odds

• Gavin Newsom — 12.5%
• Rahm Emanuel — 10.5%
• Kamala Harris — 9.0%
• Don Lemon — 8.8%
• Glenn Youngkin — 8.8%
• Vivek Ramaswamy — 8.5%
• Marjorie Taylor Greene — 7.5%
• Stephen A. Smith — 7.5%
• Mark Kelly — 7.5%
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — 7.5%
• Ted Cruz — 7.4%
• Andy Beshear — 6.5%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: Who will announce a US Presidential run before 2027? This politics market is actively priced by prediction-market traders, and the odds move as new information arrives. Our full analysis breaks down the current odds, the contenders and the catalysts that drive them, and how to take a leveraged position on the outcome. read the full analysis