Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?

Current odds

• Islam Makhachev — 69.5%
• Ian Machado Garry — 27.5%
• Gabriel Bonfim — 0.5%
• Sean Brady — 0.4%
• Joaquin Buckley — 0.4%
• Shavkat Rakhmonov — 0.1%
• Kamaru Usman — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

About this market: Makhachev leads the "Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?" market, ahead of Garry and Bonfim. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.