Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Current odds

• Keonne Rodriguez — 17.5%
• Steve Bannon — 13.7%
• Elizabeth Holmes — 10.5%
• Eric Adams — 9.5%
• Martin Shkreli — 9.5%
• Bob Menendez — 8.6%
• Roger Ver — 7.0%
• Edward Snowden — 5.9%
• Himself — 5.7%
• Antoine Massey — 5.5%
• Sam Bankman-Fried — 5.0%
• Ghislaine Maxwell — 4.8%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

About this market: Rodriguez leads the "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" market, ahead of Bannon and Holmes. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.