Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Current odds

• October 31 — 100.0%
• December 31 — 100.0%
• September 15 — 0.0%
• September 30 — 0.0%
• September 9 — 0.0%
• September 10 — 0.0%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: October 31 leads the "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" market, ahead of December 31 and September 15. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 4x.