Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

About this market: The Base token launch market asks whether Base, the Ethereum layer-2 network incubated by Coinbase, will officially launch its own token by December 31, 2026. It resolves Yes only if the token is actively and publicly transferable and tradable by the deadline - an announcement or roadmap teaser alone does not count - with Base's own communications as the primary source, backed by credible reporting. The odds move on signals from Base and Coinbase leadership about exploring a network token, on regulatory clarity for US-based token issuers, and on how much time is left for a full launch, including distribution and exchange listings, before year-end. For a breakdown of the deadline ladder, catalysts and leveraged position sizing, read the full analysis