Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?

Current odds

• December 31 — 85.5%
• September 30 — 77.5%
• July 31 — 1.2%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

About this market: December 31 leads the "Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?" market, ahead of September 30 and July 31. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.