PredMart > Markets > Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Current odds

  • December 31 — 10.0%
  • September 30 — 4.6%
  • June 30 — 0.6%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

About this market: December 31 leads the Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? market, ahead of September 30 and June 30. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.

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