Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

About this market: Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? You can trade either side with leverage up to 5x. Prices update live from the order book, and settlement is non-custodial on-chain.