Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

About this market: Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? You can trade either side with leverage up to 5x. Prices update live from the order book, and settlement is non-custodial on-chain.