Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

Current odds

• December 31 — 94.8%
• October 31 — 93.8%
• September 30 — 92.0%
• September 15 — 0.4%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

About this market: Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Traders price this geopolitics market continuously, and the odds move as new information lands. Our analysis breaks down how the market is priced, what would have to change for it to move, and how to take a leveraged position on the outcome. read the full analysis