World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Current odds

• Lionel Messi — 90.2%
• Rodri — 5.3%
• Lamine Yamal — 2.2%
• Kylian Mbappé — 2.0%
• Jude Bellingham — 0.4%
• Harry Kane — 0.3%
• Erling Haaland — 0.2%
• Michael Olise — 0.1%
• Vinícius Jr. — 0.1%
• Ousmane Dembélé — 0.1%
• Cristiano Ronaldo — 0.1%
• Rayan Cherki — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: The 2026 World Cup Golden Ball race has crystallized into a three-way contest. Kylian Mbappe leads at 43% with seven goals, but Lionel Messi's record-breaking 20th career World Cup goal has pushed him to 25%. Michael Olise, leading all players with five assists, offers value at 9% for those betting on France's attacking depth. read the full analysis