World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

Current odds

• Spain — 100.0%
• Argentina — 100.0%
• Mexico — 0.0%
• South Korea — 0.0%
• South Africa — 0.0%
• Canada — 0.0%
• Switzerland — 0.0%
• Bosnia and Herzegovina — 0.0%
• Brazil — 0.0%
• Morocco — 0.0%
• Scotland — 0.0%
• USA — 0.0%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: This analysis breaks down current prediction market odds for every nation competing to reach the 2026 World Cup final. France leads at 54.5% following dominant performances and Mbappe's record-breaking scoring run, while Argentina sits at 37.5% despite a near-upset against Cape Verde. The piece examines bracket positioning, upcoming catalysts, and value plays among mid-tier contenders like Colombia and Mexico. read the full analysis