Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

About this market: Prediction markets price Xi Jinping's removal before 2027 at just 5.75%, reflecting near-consensus confidence in his continued rule through the 21st Party Congress. The market has attracted over $11 million in volume as traders weigh CCP power dynamics, ongoing military purges, and the complete absence of a designated successor. For traders seeking to express views on Chinese political stability with amplified exposure, read the full analysis.