Market Resolution

When a prediction market question is decided in the real world, all PredMart trades on that market settle automatically. If you backed the winning outcome, you get paid. If you backed the losing outcome, you lose your margin.

How It Works

PredMart gets its final results from Polymarket. Once a winner is declared:

  1. All trades on that market settle at once
  2. You do not need to do anything — it happens automatically

Settlement Outcomes

Your Trade Market Resolves Yes Market Resolves No
Backed Yes Wins: you get your margin back + profit Loses: you lose your margin
Backed No Loses: you lose your margin Wins: you get your margin back + profit

Winning Trades

When your trade wins, you receive:

Losing Trades

When your trade loses, your margin goes to the pool. LPs keep it because they were on the other side of your trade.

At resolution, it is all or nothing. You either win the full payout or lose your entire margin.

Resolution vs. Liquidation

Event When It Happens What Happens
Resolution The real-world event is decided You win or lose based on the outcome
Liquidation Your margin falls below 15% while the market is still open Your trade is closed early and you lose the margin left in it

You can be liquidated before resolution if the price moves strongly against you. See Margin and Liquidation for details.

Example: Resolution Payout

Say you backed Yes at a price of $0.40:

Your profit: ($1.00 - $0.40) x 100 shares = $60

After the 10% profit fee on that $60, you get your $20 margin back plus the net profit.

If No had won instead, you would lose your entire $20 margin.

What Happens to the Pool

LPs in the pool are on the other side of every trade. At resolution:

The per-market cap (10% of pool assets) limits how much the pool can lose on any single market. See Providing Liquidity for more on LP risk.

Related Pages